OPEC shows little understanding of where it is, how it got there or where it is going. The output cut agreements since the beginning of this year are failing. Rising production from Libya and Nigeria are offsetting the production cut. There is a rift among OPEC members regarding its crude oil strategy. As a result, OPEC faces reputational and existential risks. Moreover, increasing output from the US is a serious threat to OPEC. Unless OPEC members keep aside their differences and find other ways to tackle the global supply glut, it would lose its relevance in forthcoming years. Overall, the outlook for crude oil is bearish.
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